April 1, 2025

Market Shifts Toward Buyer-Friendly Conditions as Inventory Rises

HouseCanary Market Pulse Report

The U.S. housing market continued its transition in March 2025, with inventory growth accelerating and contract volume showing steady gains. While overall demand remains stable, increasing supply is shifting the market toward more balanced conditions, offering buyers more negotiating power.

Inventory Growth and Market Trends

For March 2025, 290,829 net new listings were placed on the market, reflecting a 1.0% year-over-year increase. Over the past 52 weeks, total inventory has surged 21.9% compared to March 2024, again reaching its highest post-COVID levels. However, inventory remains historically low.

Months of inventory now stands at 5.24 months, nearing a buyer’s market threshold. This shift provides buyers with increased options while tempering the intense seller-driven conditions of recent years.

Contract volume also saw positive momentum, with 294,234 properties going under contract, marking a 4.5% year-over-year increase. Higher price segments led these gains, highlighting sustained demand even as affordability challenges persist.

Home Prices Maintain Growth Amid More Frequent Price Cuts

The median listing price for single-family homes in March 2025 was $452,886, reflecting a 1.7% year-over-year increase. Meanwhile, the median closed price rose 4.8% year-over-year to $431,019.

Despite this continued price growth, the market is adjusting. Price reductions surged by 40.8% compared to last year, signaling that sellers are responding to shifting affordability dynamics. The sale-to-list price ratio remains solid at 98.3%, above early 2023 lows.

Rental Market Sees Expanding Supply

The single-family rental market also experienced significant shifts, with rental inventory rising 20.9% year-over-year. The median listed rent declined slightly by 0.9% to $2,539, suggesting that the increase in available rental properties is gradually easing price pressures.

Breaking It Down by Price Tier

  • $0-$200k: Net new listings down 7.4% YoY; contract volume up 6.1%.

  • $200k-$400k: Net new listings down 7.3% YoY; contract volume up 5.6%.

  • $400k-$600k: Net new listings up 1.9% YoY; contract volume up 3.2%.

  • $600k-$1m: Net new listings up 11.5% YoY; contract volume up 4.3%.

  • $1m+: Net new listings up 19.2% YoY; contract volume up 1.3%.

What This Means for 2025

March’s data reinforces the ongoing transition toward a more balanced housing market. Expanding inventory is shifting dynamics in favor of buyers, while steady contract volume signals continued demand. Though price growth persists, the rise in price cuts suggests sellers are adjusting to affordability constraints.

As the market continues to evolve, real estate professionals and investors must stay informed with accurate, data-driven insights. HouseCanary remains committed to providing the intelligence needed to navigate the changing 2025 housing landscape with confidence.

More in the full report.

Methodology

The Market Pulse Report is an ongoing review of proprietary data and housing market trends from HouseCanary’s nationwide platform, covering 22 listing-derived metrics and comparing real estate data between March 2024 and March 2025.

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